PANAHON UPDATE
on Typhoon Nanmadol/14W/Mina
as of 28 August 2011 @ 4:43pm Ph Time
TY MINA resumes its NNW movement at 12 kph... now about 105 km WNW of Basco, Batanes with peak gusts of 195 kph near the center. The extended forecast still shows MINA moving into Southern and Central Taiwan by 29 August and eventually moving westward to WSW into Fujian Province near Xiamen in Southeastern China on 31 August! MINA is forecast to exit the PAR by 30 August. Dissipation inland over Guandong Province is expected on 01 September. Please refer to the LATEST TRACKING MAP.
PANAHON ADVISORY
on Typhoon Nanmadol/14W/Mina
as of 28 August 2011 @ 6:23am Ph Time
Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA is still a strong Category 3 Typhoon...now located to the north of Camiguin Island over the Balintang Channel. It is about 110 km WSW of Basco, Batanes or 185 km NE of Laoag City. Wind gusts in the area are estimated at 230 kph. MINA is forecast to move NW at 9 kph toward Taiwan. An extended forecast shows MINA dissipating over Northern Taiwan by 02 September.
4-Day Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA
Forecast Positions & Strength
AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING
SIGNAL NO. 4
(above 185 kph winds) | SIGNAL NO. 3
(100 to 185 kph winds) | SIGNAL NO. 2
(60 - 100 kph winds) | SIGNAL NO. 1
(from 45 - 60 kph winds) |
| NONE | Batanes Grp of Is.
| Babuyan Grp of Is.
Calayan Grp of Is.
Ilocos Norte
| Rest of Northern Cagayan
Apayao
Abra
Ilocos Sur
|
PAGASA Advisory as of 28 August 2011 @ 6:08pm
CLICK HERE for the Updated Storm Warning Signals.
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
NANMADOL/14W/MINA's inner rainbands continue to pound the islands in Extreme Northern Luzon. MINA's outerbands is now reaching Southern Taiwan and is still covering much of Central Luzon. The system has just brushed Calayan Island and is now expected to move to the west of the Batanes Group of Islands today. Expect stormy weather over these areas. There is a possibility that the system shall slightly reintensify to Category 4 Typhoon Status while moving northward toward Taiwan with peak wind gusts of 260 kph! The Southwest Moonsoon shall likewise be pulled by this system bringing rainy and windy conditions across the rest of the Philippines. Beware of flashfloods and landslides. MINA shall make landfall in Taiwan by 30 August.
In Taiwan, MINA shall make landfall very near to the west of Taitung by 30 August. It shall move northward toward Haiduan passing to the east of Mount Yu where MINA shall start to move NW into Sinyi Township, Puli, Guosing, Dongshih and Yuanli before exiting into Taiwan Strait in Northwestern Taiwan by 01 September.
Meanwhile, improved weather condition can now be experienced in Southern Luzon and the rest of the country as MINA pulls away.
Please note that MINA is a very dangerous typhoon. Residents in Northern Luzon should exercise extreme caution! Coastal areas along the eastern seaboard of Luzon shall be very rough.
♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF NANMADOL/14W/MINA ♦♦♦
♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: NANMADOL/14W/(MINA) ♦♦♦
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PANAHON ADVISORY
on Tropical Storm TALAS/15W
as of 28 August 2011 @ 6:23am Ph Time
Tropical Storm TALAS is about 270 km WSW of Iwo To, Japan. Wind gusts are estimated at 100 kph. TALAS is stationary at the moment but is forecast to continue moving NNW. On 02 September, TALAS shall be about 520 km South of Tokyo, Japan with wind gusts of 185 kph.
Tropical Storm TALAS is not a threat to the Philippines and is expected to pass just to the east of the Philippine Area of Responsiblity.
♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF TALAS/15W ♦♦♦
♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: TALAS/15W ♦♦♦
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♦♦♦ WESTERN PACIFIC SATELLITE IMAGE (approx. 3 hrs. ago) ♦♦♦
Click here for the Latest HI-RES Satellite Image
Click here for the Latest Flash Satellite Video
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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC RAIN RATE ♦♦♦
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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SURFACE WIND ♦♦♦
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♦♦♦ LATEST PHILIPPINE WATER WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦
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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦
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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ♦♦♦
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