LPA Alert:
Updated: 06 August 2011 @ 6:49am Ph TimeLPA 90W east of Visayas outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility. The disturbance is about 265 km WSW of Guam or 790 km east of the Philippine Area of Responsibility. Probable development is still LOW.
New LPA 91W pops to the east of 90W...about 320 km ESE of Guam. Probable development is LOW.
Quick Outlook in the Philippines Today
Luzon: FAIR to RAINY
Visayas: FAIR to RAINY
Mindanao: FAIR to RAINY
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PANAHON UPDATE on
Typhoon KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
as of 05 August 2011 @ 6:03am Ph Time
(Final Advisory)
Typhoon KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA is now storming Okinawa with its eye now passing to the south of the island this morning. The system is a Category 2 Typhoon crawling WNW at 9 kph. At 2am this morning, it is still located 140 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan or just over the vicinity of the Philippine Area of Responsibility with peak wind gusts of 195 kph.
At 2pm later, KABAYAN shall be 110 km WSW of Okinawa, Japan. Wind gusts stay at 195 kph.
Tomorrow 2pm, the system shall be about 205 km WNW of Okinawa, Japan with wind gusts of 195 kph.
4-Day TYPHOON KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
Forecast Positions & Strength
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
Typhoon KABAYAN has maintained its organization and intensity while moving WNW slowly. It has fully completed its eyewall replacement cycle and an expansive, symmetrical, ragged 55-km eye was noted in a recent satellite pass. Severe gale force winds of over 370 kph extend from the center as reported by stations in Okinawa. The eyewall has thick concentric banding but is now lacking deep convection. The extended track now brings the storm just to the east of Shanghai and Beijing but crossing into Shandong Province between Rushan and Laixi on 08 August as a weakening Category 1 Typhoon. Further tracking from the models takes KABAYAN to the east of Bohai Sea moving NE into Fuxin, Liaoning Northeastern China on 09 August where it shall dissipate quickly.
KABAYAN's rainbands are still over Southern Ryukyus including Okinawa where stormy weather conditions is being experienced now. The Philippines, particularly Luzon shall continue to experience passing rains and slight gusts due to the southwest moonsoon being pulled by this typhoon.
With this development, this is the FINAL ADVISORY on this system.
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PANAHON UPDATE on
Tropical Storm MERBOK/12W
as of 05 August 2011 @ 6:03am Ph Time
(Final Advisory)
Tropical Storm Merbok maintained its intensity. At 2am today, it is about 255 km ENE of Marcus Island moving NW at 12 kph. Its wind gusts reaches 85 kph. The storm's general direction is still towards the NW, going poleward and turning NE. By 10 August, MERBOK shall be about 2,285 km east of Tokyo, Japan with wind gusts of 100 kph.
MERBOK is very far from the Philippines and is definitely not a threat and with this development, this is the FINAL ADVISORY on this system.
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