The relocation of its center earlier did not affect the forecast prognosis which still shows the system moving NW along the Philippine Sea and gliding to the east of Extreme Northern Luzon and Taiwan directly cutting to the east of Taketomi in Yaeyama District, Okinawa, Japan before turning poleward and deviating a northeast forward movement towards the East China Sea and into Korea's West Sea before touching down into North Korea.
At 2am today, FALCON shall be 430 km ESE of Basco, Batanes. Wind gusts shall intensify to 100 kph.
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4-Day TROPICAL STORM FALCON/07W(Meari)
Forecast Positions & Strength
AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING
(above 185 kph winds) | (100 to 185 kph winds) | (60 - 100 kph winds) | (from 45 - 60 kph winds) |
| NONE | NONE | NONE | Isabela Cagayan Calayan Babuyan Grp of Is Batanes Grp of Is |
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
FALCON/07W/Meari's exposed, elongated eye was seen in a recent satellite pass. Very thick rainclouds with small rotating vortices continue to flare up all around the storm spurting heavy rains and winds. Strong Southwest Moonsoon is being experienced in Mindanao and other parts of the country that is being enhanced by this system.
FALCON shall remain over the East Philippine Sea and there is no immediate landfall threat to the Philippines as of this time. The storm still calls for a Korean landfall. FALCON shall continue moving NW passing to the east of Extreme Northern Luzon by 24 June and moving to the east of Taiwan via Ishigaki-shima Island by 25 June.
On 25 June, FALCON shall turn poleward to NNE towards the East China Sea missing Mainland China and just passing to the east of Shanghai in Eastern China. By 26 June, FALCON shall then turn NE towards Korea's West Sea and shall make landfall in North Korea between Choam-dong and Ch'onggye-ri and slicing through Chagun'gogae. FALCON shall pass to the southeast of Pyongyang and into the southwest of Hamhŭng, South Hamgyŏng Province by 27 June.
FALCON shall enhance the Southwest Moonsoon. Expect rains throughout the Philippines while this system hovers the East Philippine Sea. Beware of flashfloods and landslides that could be triggered by this disturbance. Strong far-fetched sea waves can also be expected along the eastern coast of Luzon being generated by this storm. All sea vessels must be alerted.
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