SUPER TYPHOON SONGDA (CHEDENG) as of 27 May @ 11am

As of 11 this morning, Super Typhoon CHEDENG continues to accelerate further along the northern Philippine Sea moving at 18 kph with wind gusts now down to 295 kph, now threatens Okinawa and the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. The system has initially weakened sooner than previously expected. An elongated eye has been noted in a recent animated infrared satellite and microwave imagery depicting an eye-wall replacement cycle taking in place. Super Typhoon CHEDENG is about 180 km ENE of Sta. Ana, Cagayan. CHEDENG is expected to lose strength further in the next hours while moving switfly northward along the Philippine Sea just ENE of Isabela and Cagayan and towards the East of the Batanes Group of Islands. CHEDENG's huge rainbands are beginning to leave the Bicol region and is affecting Isabela and Cagayan and the rest of Northern Luzon. Metro Manila, Bicol, Palawan, Visayas and Western Mindanao are affected by the strong Southwest Moonsoon currently being enhanced by Super Typhoon CHEDENG.

At 8pm today – 27 May, it shall be 190 km East of Basco, Batanes with wind gusts dropping to 270 kph.

On 28 May at 8am, CHEDENG is forecast to be 425 km NE of Basco, Batanes. Wind gusts drops further to 240 kph.

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3-Day SUPER TYPHOON CHEDENG(Songda) Forecast Positions

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AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING

STORM SIGNAL # 2:
Batanes &
Babuyan Group of Islands

STORM SIGNAL # 1:
Apayao
Cagayan
Isabela
Quirino
Aurora

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FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS:

CHEDENG has been accelerating in the past hours moving Northward further into the Northern Philippine Sea or just east of the Batanes Group of Islands. No further intensification is expected and CHEDENG shall accelerate further today while hurling hundreds of kilometers away from the shorelines of Cagayan/Isabela and the Batanes Group of Islands. Stormy weather today in these areas including the Ilocos Provinces. Very strong far-fetched waves are expected to hit the abovementioned shorelines becoming apparent over the Luzon Ridge. Expect rains in Luzon (becoming very stormy in the North), Visayas and Mindanao that could trigger flashfloods. Strong to gale force winds (55 kph or higher) are expected becoming stronger in extreme Northern Luzon beginning 27 May. CHEDENG shall further lose strength today. A turn to the northeast in the later part of the extended forecast is expected.

The eye wall replacement cycle combined with cooler sea surface temperature and increased vertical wind shear shall weaken the system rapidly as it tracks out of the PAR and into Okinawa, Japan. CHEDENG shall be out of the country by 28 May. Extra tropical transition is also expected by 30 May. It is expected to recurve to the northeast missing Taiwan as an extra tropical storm system.

Chedeng shall be in the vicinity of Okinawa sometime during the night of 28 May and shall move northeast towards the Ryukyu Islands at midnight or early morning of 29 May. Expect stormy weather in these areas over the weekend.

Expect rough to very rough sea conditions along these areas. FISHING BOATS AND OTHER SMALL SEACRAFTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE SEA WHILE LARGER SEA VESSELS ARE ALERTED AGAINST BIG WAVES.

In the Bicol region, the rest of Visayas and Mindanao, improving weather condition is expected as Super Typhoon CHEDENG continues to move away.

Forecast models are still in excellent agreement with a NO LANDFALL Scenario in the Philippines for Typhoon SONGDA/CHEDENG. However, different results in the extended forecasts (30 May and 31 May) were generated with some models bringing CHEDENG over Japan while the other models favoring an open water scenario just South of Japan. CHEDENG shall continue to accelerate later in the forecast between 27 to 31 May and eventually lose its strength.

P.S.
CHEDENG(Songda) is a strong and dangerous storm. If this hits land, it would be a deadly catastrophe. The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and precautionary measures.

TRACKING MAP OF SUPER TYPHOON CHEDENG(Songda)

SATELLITE IMAGE as of 27 May @ 11am