Monday, August 29, 2011

PANAHON UPDATE
on Tropical Storm Nanmadol/14W/Mina
as of 29 August 2011 @ 8:42am Ph Time


MINA (now outside the PAR) weakens into a Tropical Storm and is now over Taiwan Strait after traversing Southern Taiwan in Tainan near Cigu and Yongkang. It is now over the island of Penghu near Magong and Husi. The recent movement of MINA is slightly to the south of the previous forecast. Expect PAGASA to lower all storm signals in their upcoming advisory today. Improving weather condition shall begin in Extreme Northern Luzon as MINA continues to pull away toward Fujian, China.

PANAHON ADVISORY
on Typhoon Nanmadol/14W/Mina
as of 29 August 2011 @ 5:37am Ph Time


Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA weakens into a Category 1 Typhoon and is now making landfall in the southern tip of Taiwan...now located some 25 km SE of Daren, Taitung County in Taiwan or about 210 km NW of Basco, Batanes. Wind gusts in the area are estimated at 155 kph. MINA is forecast to move Northward to NNW at 11 kph toward Mainland Taiwan. An extended forecast shows MINA turning to the west into Southeastern China where it shall dissipate by 02 September.

3-Day Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA
Forecast Positions & Strength


AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING

SIGNAL NO. 4
(above 185 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 3
(100 to 185 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 2
(60 - 100 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 1
(from 45 - 60 kph winds)
NONE NONE Batanes Grp of Is. Babuyan &
Calayan Grp of Is.
PAGASA Advisory as of 29 August 2011 @ 5:36am
CLICK HERE for the Updated Storm Warning Signals.



FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
NANMADOL/14W/MINA's inner rainbands has started to lash Southern Taiwan. Its outer rainbands are still over Extreme Northern Luzon bringing rains and gusts over that area. In Taiwan, MINA shall make landfall very near Daren today and it shall move NNW into Majia, Sandimen, Gaoshu, Meinong and Dongshan. MINA shall turn NW into Houbi, Lucao, Puzih and Lioujiao. TAIWAN interaction shall further weaken the system down to a Tropical Storm. It shall exit into Taiwan Strait via Kouho tonight. MINA shall move WNW into Fujian Province in China near Shishi on 30 August. It shall continue moving inland as a weak Tropical Depression to the north of Tong'an, Lianhuazhen and Longyan where its shall dissipate by 02 September.

Meanwhile, improved weather condition can now be experienced in the Philippines. Coastal areas in Extreme Northern Luzon are still moderate to rough.


♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF NANMADOL/14W/MINA ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: NANMADOL/14W/(MINA) ♦♦♦

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PANAHON ADVISORY
on Tropical Storm TALAS/15W
as of 29 August 2011 @ 5:49am Ph Time



Tropical Storm TALAS is about 175 km WSW of Iwo To, Japan. Wind gusts are estimated at 130 kph. TALAS is moving NNE at 7 kph. On 03 September, TALAS shall make landfall in Shizuoka, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan or about 155 km WSW of Tokyo, Japan with wind gusts of 165 kph.

Tropical Storm TALAS is not a threat to the Philippines and is expected to pass just to the east of the Philippine Area of Responsiblity.


♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF TALAS/15W ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: TALAS/15W ♦♦♦

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LPA Alert:
New LPA 98W forms about 1,075 km ENE of Saipan far out in the Pacific Ocean.

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♦♦♦ WESTERN PACIFIC SATELLITE IMAGE (approx. 3 hrs. ago) ♦♦♦

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Click here for the Latest HI-RES Satellite Image

Click here for the Latest Flash Satellite Video


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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC RAIN RATE ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SURFACE WIND ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST PHILIPPINE WATER WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ♦♦♦

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•••

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