Friday, August 26, 2011

PANAHON UPDATE
on Super Typhoon Nanmadol/14W/Mina
as of 26 August 2011 @ 5:23pm Ph Time



Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA gained more strength and is forecast to become a very dangerous Category 5 super howler tonight or early tomorrow...still aiming for Extreme Northern Luzon! It is about 155 km ENE of Ilagan, Isabela. Wind gusts in the area are estimated at 305 kph. MINA is forecast to move NNW at 11 kph.

4-Day Super Typhoon NANMADOL/14W/MINA
Forecast Positions & Strength


AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING

SIGNAL NO. 4
(above 185 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 3
(100 to 185 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 2
(60 - 100 kph winds)
SIGNAL NO. 1
(from 45 - 60 kph winds)
Northern Cagayan Isabela
Rest of Cagayan
Calayan
Babuyan Grp of Is.
Batanes Grp of Is.
Northern Aurora
Quirino
Ifugao
Mt. Province
Kalinga
Apayao
Rest of Aurora
Nueva Vizcaya
Benguet
Ilocos Sur
Ilocos Norte
Abra
PAGASA Advisory as of 26 August 2011 @ 5:47pm


FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
NANMADOL/14W/MINA's entire western thick rainbands continue to cover the entire Luzon. A 31-km highly symmetric eye has been noted in a recent satellite pass. MINA's threat to Northern Luzon remains. The system is now forecast to pass very near Cagayan just east of Pananapan and Escarpada Point, Sta. Ana & Palaui Island in Cagayan by 27 August. It shall continue to move NNW very close to the east of Camiguin Island, Babuyan, Balintang Islands, Sabtang, Ibuhos Island, Batan Island, Diogo, Itbayat, Siayan, Mabudis and Mavudis Islands over the weekend (28 August). Expect stormy weather over these areas. The system shall maintain Category 5 Typhoon Status on 27 August with peak wind gusts of 325 kph! The Southwest Moonsoon shall likewise be pulled by this system bringing rainy and windy conditions across the rest of the Philippines. Beware of flashfloods and landslides. MINA shall traverse Okinawa, Japan by 31 August.

Please note that MINA is a very dangerous typhoon. Residents in Northern Luzon should exercise extreme caution! Coastal areas along the eastern seaboard of Luzon shall be very rough.


♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF NANMADOL/14W/MINA ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: NANMADOL/14W/(MINA) ♦♦♦

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PANAHON UPDATE
on Tropical Storm TALAS/15W
as of 26 August 2011 @ 5:32am Ph Time



Tropical Storm TALAS is about 860 km WNW of Saipan. Wind gusts are estimated at 90 kph moving NNW at 14 kph towards Iwo To, Japan. On 31 August, TALAS shall be about 815 km South of Tokyo, Japan with wind gusts of 195 kph.

Tropical Storm TALAS is not a threat to the Philippines and is expected to pass just to the east of the Philippine Area of Responsiblity.


♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF TALAS/15W ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: TALAS/15W ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ WESTERN PACIFIC SATELLITE IMAGE (approx. 3 hrs. ago) ♦♦♦

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Click here for the Latest HI-RES Satellite Image

Click here for the Latest Flash Satellite Video


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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC RAIN RATE ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SURFACE WIND ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST PHILIPPINE WATER WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ♦♦♦

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