PANAHON UPDATE
on Typhoon Nesat/20W/PEDRING
as of 26 September 2011 @ 4:56pm Ph Time
(Inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility)
Typhoon NESAT/PEDRING has maintained its movement and strength...now calls for a Northern Aurora landfall by tomorrow. It is about 250 km NNE of Virac, Catanduanes or 290 km ESE of Casiguran, Aurora. Peak wind gusts are estimated at 185 kph moving WNW at 25 kph.
AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING
(above 185 kph winds) | (100 to 185 kph winds) | (60 - 100 kph winds) | (from 45 - 60 kph winds) |
| NONE | Catanduanes Camarines Sur Camarines Norte Northern Quezon Polillo Island Aurora Quirino Isabela | Albay Burias Island Sorsogon Rest of Quezon Rizal Bulacan Nueva Ecija Nueva Vizcaya Ifugao Benguet Mt. Province Kalinga Cagayan Metro Manila | Ticao Island Masbate Marinduque Batangas Cavite Bataan Pampanga Zambales Tarlac Pangasinan La Union Ilocos Sur Ilocos Norte Abra Apayao Calayan Babuyan Grp of Is. Northern Samar |
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
Typhoon NESAT/20W/PEDRING maintained its WNW movement and is now heading toward Dilasag Bay in Aurora. A Category 2 forecast intensity still persists among the numerical models prior to landfall just to the south of Dilasag, Aurora in the morning of 27 September. Inner rainbands continue to lash Northern Bicol Region. Its outer rainbands is now covering the rest of the archipelago! Deteriorating condition shall continue to prevail.
PEDRING shall intensify further reaching Category 2 Typhoon Status (gusts of up to 205 kph) prior to landfall in Aurora via Dilasag Bay on 27 September. It shall cross to the north of Casiguran and move into Isabela between San Agustin and Jones. PEDRING shall cross Quirino near Saguday and Diffun and shall move into Nueva Vizcaya over Diadi. PEDRING shall traverse Ifugao in Lamut and move to the north of Asipulo. The typhoon shall continue moving WNW crossing into Benguet near Bakun and shall move into Ilocos Sur very near Sugpon. It shall exit to the West Philippine Sea via La Union between Bangar and Luna. PEDRING is expected to be out of the PAR by 28 September. By 01 October, PEDRING shall make landfall into Vietnam...about 80 km SSW of Hanoi after crossing Hainan and the Gulf of Tonkin earlier.
Residents over the areas mentioned above should brace for this upcoming disturbance and take all necessary precautions. PEDRING is a very dangerous system when it hits land!
The entire Philippines shall be rainy this week due to the storm's very large circulation.
PANAHON UPDATE
on Tropical Storm Haitang/21W
as of 26 September 2011 @ 4:56pm Ph Time
(Outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility)
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LPA Alert:
Updated: 26 September 2011 @ 11:37am
LPA 99W about 230 km NNW of Guam.
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