Monday, July 4, 2011

Panahon Update as of 04 July 2011 @ 9pm Ph Time

Intertropical Convergence Zone continues to affect the country. Fair to heavy rainy periods associated with lightning and thunderstorms must be expected. Meanwhile, a weather disturbance is forecast to drift over Extreme Northern Luzon. This disturbance shall linger from Calayan/Camiguin/Batanes Islands moving to the west of Ilocos and back just to the south of Taiwan. Some weird tracking here! Anyway, this should bring heavy downpours to most areas in Luzon between 10 to 13 July 2011.

LPA Alert
LPA 94W east of Northern Samar...about 875 km ESE of Sorsogon. Strengthening has been noted. Winds in the area are estimated at 37 kph. The system is moving NW.

LPA 95W outside the PAR just west of the Spratly Islands over the West Philippine Sea.

LPA 97W drifted far north of Catanduanes...about 275 km ESE of Baler. The system is moving WNW closer to Northern Luzon. Winds in the area are estimated at 27 kph. This will bring rains in Bicol and Luzon.

These weather systems combined with ITCZ shall bring rains in Visayas and Mindanao. Models are still struggling to resolve as to which of these minor circulations shall develop into a significant tropical cyclone. Stay tuned for updates.

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