PANAHON UPDATE on
Tropical Storm KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
as of 30 July 2011 @ 5:42am Ph Time
TROPICAL STORM KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA continues to move along the East Philippine Sea and is now located to the east of Northern Samar. At 2am today, it is about 1,060 km east of ENE of Virac, Catanduanes. The system is moving northward at 14 kph. Wind gusts reaches 130 kph. It is forecast to be in the vicinity of Minamidaito and Kitadaito in the Shimajiri District, Okinawa, Japan on 04 August. KABAYAN now calls for a China landfall by 06 August.
At 2pm later, KABAYAN shall be 1,300 km East of Baler, Aurora. Wind gusts shall intensify to 150 kph.
Tomorrow 2pm, the system shall be about 1,220 km ESE of Ilagan, Isabela with intensified wind gusts of 160 kph.
4-Day TROPICAL STORM KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
Forecast Positions & Strength
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
Tropical Storm KABAYAN shall continue to move northward along the east Philippine Sea and intensify gradually. The high sea surface temperature continues to fuel the storm and it is expected to reach peak wind gusts of 210 kph in the extended forecast. KABAYAN shall intensify into a Category 2 Typhoon by 31 July. The system shall shift to a northwest movement on 01 August heading towards the Southern Ryukyus in Kagoshima, Japan. It is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on 04 August. Forecast from ECMWF shows KABAYAN making landfall in Shanghai, China by 06 August.
KABAYAN shall enhance the southwest moonsoon that shall bring rains into Mindanao becoming widespread into Visayas and Luzon as the system tracks northward. Overall, fair to wet weather shall prevail in the country until early next week.
Quick Outlook in the Philippines Today
Luzon: FAIR to RAINY
Visayas: FAIR to RAINY
Mindanao: FAIR to RAINY