Friday, July 29, 2011

PANAHON UPDATE on
Tropical Storm KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
as of 29 July 2011 @ 6:36am Ph Time



TROPICAL STORM KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA continue to move along the East Philippine Sea and is now located to the east of Northern Samar. At 2am today, it is about 915 km east of Mapanas, Northern Samar. The system is moving WNW at 16 kph. Wind gusts reaches 100 kph.

At 2pm later, KABAYAN shall be 965 km East of Sorsogon City. Wind gusts shall intensify to 120 kph.

Tomorrow 2pm, the system shall be about 895 km ENE of Virac, Catanduanes with intensified wind gusts of 130 kph.

4-Day TROPICAL STORM KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA
Forecast Positions & Strength


FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
Tropical Storm KABAYAN shall continue to move WNW to NW along the east Philippine Sea and intensify gradually before turning poleward sharply. It shall slow down while tracking northward. KABAYAN shall intensify into a Category 1 Typhoon by 31 July in the general direction towards Southern Japan.

KABAYAN shall enhance the southwest moonsoon that shall bring rains into Mindanao becoming widespread into Visayas and Luzon as the system tracks northward. Overall, fair to wet weather shall prevail in the country until early next week.

Quick Outlook in the Philippines Today
Luzon: FAIR to RAINY
Visayas: FAIR to RAINY
Mindanao: FAIR to RAINY


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♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF KABAYAN/11W/MUIFA ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: 11W/MUIFA (KABAYAN) ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST TRACKING MAP OF JUANING/10W/NOCK-TEN ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ FORECAST MODELS FOCUS: 10W/NOCK-TEN (JUANING) ♦♦♦

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LPA Alert:
LPA 96W located WNW of Guam.
We'll keep an eye on this disturbance for possible development.

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♦♦♦ WESTERN PACIFIC SATELLITE IMAGE (approx. 3 hrs.ago) ♦♦♦

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Click here for the Latest HI-RES Satellite Image

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC RAIN RATE ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SURFACE WIND ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST PHILIPPINE WATER WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION ♦♦♦

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♦♦♦ LATEST WESTERN PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ♦♦♦

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