At 2am tomorrow, 10 June, TD DODONG shall be about 225 km West of San Fernando, La Union or 260 km SW of Vigan, Ilocos Sur. Wind gusts shall intensify to 75 kph. The system shall, then, pass between Truro Shoal and Stewart Seamount in the South China Sea tomorrow.
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS
The system's circulation has rapidly improved and forecast models were too slow to catch up. The Philippine landmass must have hindered its development earlier in the forecast. DODONG's circulation covers the entire Luzon area and almost half of the entire South China Sea. Deteriorating weather condition is expected tonight particularly in areas under the storm's signal. As the system tracks further into the South China Sea, it is expected to affect mostly the western sections of Luzon from Western Ilocos down to Western La Union, Bataan and Zambales. Heavy rains is expected along these areas and winds of minimal Tropical Depression strength (at least 55 kph) shall occur. Please be alert against flashfloods and landslides. Moderate to rough sea waves are expected along the western seaboards of Luzon as TD DODONG lingers out over the South China Sea.
TD 05W/DODONG shall continue moving NW and shall be out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow afternoon, 10 June and shall threaten Pratas Island. It is forecast to cut through Pratas Island sometime in the morning of 11 June and shall sharply turn North to NNE moving inland into Southeastern China. Forecast models indicate a landfall near Shantou and Haojiang, China during the night of 11 June. Rapid dissipation is expected afterwards.
3-Day TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W(DODONG) Forecast Positions
AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNINGSTORM SIGNAL # 1:
TRACKING MAP OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W(DODONG)
SATELLITE IMAGE as of 09 June @ 2:32pm