Thursday, June 9, 2011

Tropical Depression DODONG Weather Update as of 11pm - 09 June

Tropical Depression DODONG accelerated away from the country during the past several hours...now West of La Union and a few kilometers SW of Stewart Seamount. Despite the warm surface temperature of the South China Sea, the system's rainbands are still poorly organized with much of its rainclouds displaced over the southern section of the circulation and there has been some thinning of bands in the northeastern part. As of 8pm today, the center of TD 05W/Dodong was estimated at 205 km WNW of San Fernando, La Union with wind gusts of up to 65 kph. It is forecast to move NNW at 22 kph towards Pratas Island in the South China Sea. The system shall, then, pass between Truro Shoal and Stewart Seamount in the South China Sea tonight.

At 8am tomorrow, 10 June, TD DODONG shall be about 335 km West of Laoag, Ilocos Norte...just over the Philippine Area of Responsibility. Wind gusts shall intensify to 75 kph.

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FORECAST ANALYSIS AND EFFECTS

DODONG's circulation mostly covers one-third of the entire South China Sea. The western sections of Luzon shall be affected as the system moves away into the central part of the South China Sea. This include Western Ilocos down to Western La Union, Bataan and Zambales. Heavy rains is expected along these areas and winds of minimal Tropical Depression strength (at least 55 kph) shall occur. Please be alert against flashfloods and landslides. Moderate to rough sea waves are expected along the western seaboards of Luzon as TD DODONG lingers out over the South China Sea. However, as TD DODONG jumps over the PAR, Luzon's weather shall return to normal along with the rest of the Visayas and Mindanao. Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) shall continue to bring in scattered rains in the Philippines.

TD 05W/DODONG shall continue moving NW and shall be out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning, 10 June and shall threaten Pratas Island. It is forecast to pass very close to the west of Pratas Island sometime during the night of 10 June and shall sharply turn North to NNE moving inland into Southeastern China. Forecast models indicate a landfall near Shantou and Haojiang, China during the afternoon or early evening of 11 June. Rapid dissipation is expected afterwards.

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3-Day TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W(DODONG) Forecast Positions


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AREAS HAVING PUBLIC STORM SIGNAL WARNING

STORM SIGNAL # 1:
Pangasinan

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TRACKING MAP OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W(DODONG)


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SATELLITE IMAGE as of 09 June @ 8:32pm

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